Research
NBER Working Papers | VoxEU Columns | Google Scholar | RePEC | SSRN
Academic Economics and Finance Publications
“The Pricing of U.S. Treasury Floating Rate Notes”, with Urban Jermann, Journal of Financial Economics, May 2024. NBER Working Paper No. 27065, ASSA/AFA 2021
“Do Pre-Registration and Pre-Analysis Plans Reduce p-Hacking and Publication Bias?: Evidence from 15,992 Test Statistics and Suggestions for Improvement” with Abel Brodeur, Nikolai Cook, and Anthony Heyes, Journal of Political Economy: Microeconomics, 2024, Volume 2, Number 3, pp. 527-561. IZA Discussion Paper No. 15476, SIEPR Working Paper, MetaArXiv, Advances in Field Experiments Conference 2023
“De-Dollarization? Not So Fast”, with Felix Gerding, Economics Letters, March 2024. See de-dollarization.org website. Media: Marketwatch, Marginal Revolution, National Review
“The Local Residential Land Use Regulatory Environment Across U.S. Housing Markets: Evidence From a New Wharton Index”, with Joseph Gyourko and Jacob Krimmel, Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 124, July 2021, previously NBER Working Paper No. 26573, [Data Files], Media: The Wall Street Journal 1, The Wall Street Journal 2, MarketWatch, City Journal, Marginal Revolution, The Economic Report of the President 2020, The Economic Report of the President 2024
“Friedman’s Plucking Model: New International Evidence From Maddison Project Data”, Economics Letters, Vol. 199, February 2021
Book Chapters/Conference Paper Proceedings
“Firm Investment And The User Cost of Capital: New U.S. Corporate Tax Reform Evidence” with Kevin Hassett and Joshua Rauh, 40th NBER Tax Policy and the Economy Conference, 2025, Forthcoming, NBER Working Paper. Media: Reason, LA Times
“John Taylor’s Contribution to Economics” with John Cochrane and Michael Bordo, in preparation for the Hoover Institution A Celebration In Honor of John Taylor Conference, eds. John Cochrane and Michael Bordo, 2025, Hoover Institution Press
“An Event Study of COVID-19 Central Bank Quantitative Easing in Advanced and Emerging Economies", with Alessandro Rebucci and Daniel Jiménez, Advances in Econometrics, 2022, Vol. 44, Alexander Chudik, Cheng Hsiao, and Allan Timmermann eds., NBER Working Paper No. 27339, CEPR Discussion Paper No. 14841, Media: VoxEU, New York Fed Liberty Street Economics, Goldman Sachs Economic Research, 21st Century Monetary Policy by Ben Bernanke
Metapapers/Scientific Journal Publications
“Mass Reproducibility and Replicability: A New Hope”, with Abel Brodeur, Derek Mikola, Nikolai Cook et al., 2024, I4R Working Paper Series
Central Bank Publications
“Management and Firm Dynamics”, with Nick Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, Rachel Schuh, and John Van Reenen, New York Fed Liberty Street Economics Blog Post, April 2025
“Mortgage Stress Tests and Household Financial Resilience Under Monetary Policy Tightening”, with Nuno Paixao, Bank of Canada Staff Analytical Note No. 2024-25, Nov. 2024, Media: Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rodgers Speech at Economic Club of Canada
Books/Notes
Chicago Price Theory Practice Problems and Solutions
Working Papers
“Management and Firm Dynamism”, with Nick Bloom, Raffaella Sadun, Rachel Schuh, and John Van Reenen, SED 2024, New York Fed Liberty Street Economics Blog Post
“The Labor Market Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence”, with Filip Jolevski, Vitor Melo, and Brendan Moore, Media: Marginal Revolution
“Does Government Debt Management Matter? High Frequency Identification From U.S. Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements” with Lorenzo Rigon, Media: MacroMusings, Related Wall Street Journal OpEd
“Navigating Higher Education Insurance: An Experimental Study on Demand and Adverse Selection” with Ege Aksu, Sidhya Balakrishnan, Eric Bettinger, Michael Kofoed, Dubravka Ritter, and Doug Webber, NBER Working Paper No. 32260, Philly Fed Working Paper Series, Fed Board Finance and Economic Discussion Series (FEDS), Pre-Registration, ASSA 2024, NBER Economics of Education Fall Meeting 2023, SOLE 2024. Media: Times Higher Education, Marginal Revolution, The White House
“The International Public Debt Valuation Puzzle”, with Matyas Farkas and J.R. Scott
“Predictable End-of-Month Treasury Returns”, with Krista Schwarz, Working Paper, ASSA/AEA 2021
“Smooth Panel Local Projections”, with Jackson Mejia. R file for SPLP. Stata file for SPLP.
“Survey Measures of the Natural Rate of Interest”, Mercatus Working Paper
“The Elastic Markets Hypothesis”, with Felix Gerding
“Convergence, Big Time? Global Inflation, COVID-19 And The Early 2020s Return of Divergence” Media: Marginal Revolution
“Does Rule of Law Matter For Firms? Evidence From Shifting Political Control in Hong Kong”. Media: City Journal, Marginal Revolution
Work In Progress
“Government Bond Auctions in Advanced and Emerging Economies”
“The Consumption Effects of An Oil Supply Shock: Evidence from the Colonial Pipeline Cyberattack”, with Christos A. Makridis
“Do Market Reforms Cause Growth?” with Brian Wheaton
“Analyzing Occupational Licensing Across Nations”, with Morris Kleiner
“Housing Supply and The Local Residential Land Use Regulatory Environment Across Canadian Housing Markets”